Monday, March 27, 2017

Trump's Approval Rating Drops to New Low of 36%

Gallup: Trump's Approval Rating Drops to New Low of 36%

The following Presidents never got that low: Obama, Clinton, Ford, Kennedy, Ike.

Reagan and Johnson hit lows of 35% and Bush the Elder dropped as low as 29%.

Once you get lower than that, you're in the zone of total long-term fuck-uppery:
  • Bush the Younger (25%) needed to start a costly, unnecessary war under false pretenses.
  • Harry Truman (22%) and Jimmy Carter (28%) required weak economic conditions and years of screwing up situation after situation.
  • Richard Nixon (24%) ...well, we all know what kind of shenanigans he was up to.
The point is that it took years for those Presidents to get below 29%, and Trump may be headed there on an express train.

However ...

Gallup concludes: "Presidential job approval ratings are fluid, and all presidents have seen both upward and downward swings in their ratings at various points in their administrations -- a historical precedent indicating Trump's approval could drop further or recover in the weeks and months ahead. An encouraging sign for Trump, perhaps, is that all presidents whose ratings fell below 36% -- with the exception of Nixon -- saw their ratings improve thereafter. Clinton provides a particularly relevant example. His approval rating dropped to 37% in June 1993 but recovered to 56% by September of that year."

7 comments:

  1. Dream on. Short of a "Reichstag" stunt, Trump won't recover.

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    1. 'Wag the Dog'? I don't think so.

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  2. Yep. No way put of that pit. But that may be rock bottom. That 20 to 30 percent are his cult that love everything he does no matter what.

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    1. I guess I count myself in that 20 to 30 percent slot you talk of, but I do not love everything he does. In fact, he has done a couple of things that I do not like. But then, like the saying goes..."I think: therefore I am neither Democrat nor Republican."

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  3. And this opinion is by one of the polling companies that proclaimed in loud voices that Trump had barely a 3% chance of winning the election. I have usually had a very low opinion of polls (mainly because I have done them and know how they work) but now I pay zero attention to them. They shot themselves in the foot with this past election and then didn't have the grace to come back and say "well, check this out, we were wrong. How about that?"

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    1. You are confusing talking points with facts: (1) Gallup did not do any polling of the 2016 election; (2) contrary to the GOP narrative, most pollsters got VERY close. Why would they apologize for being right? The average predicted margin for Clinton was 3.3 points, and she actually won by 2.1. Only one major polling organization (Monmouth) showed Clinton with a margin greater than 4, and they came close to staying within their MOE. IN FACT, the worst error was made by IBD, the only one to predict a Trump victory in the popular vote, which said Trump would win by 2, with a margin of error of 3.6. The final result was outside their MOE by half a point. But the point is this - you can't really say the polls were unreliable when they predicted a three point Clinton edge, and she pulled a two point victory. That's pretty damned good polling.

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  4. Oh, just watch. People will remember that Trump is telling hem what they want to hear. They will forget that it's all lies. His numbers will go up.

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