Trump approval (+/-) among:
- Uneducated (no college degree) whites: +9
- Educated whites: -11
- Non-white: -51
Education has become a greater divider than gender. The difference in the approval rating between white men and white women is 8 points, while the difference between educated and non-educated whites is 10.
Obviously race differentiates us the most dramatically (Trump’s approval is 50% among whites, 10% among non-whites), but another correlated factor shows a similar gap. Trump’s approval rating among rural voters is 54%, suburban 42%, urban 30%.
All of these things are related, of course. More poorly educated white people live in rural areas, while the cities encompass a high percentage of non-whites.
In other topics:
Biden continues to be the preference of 31% of Democrats, the same percentage he held back in March, but Warren continues to take away Sanders voters. In March it was 23-4 in favor of Bernie. It is now 20-10 in favor of Warren.
All four of the leading Democrats are well ahead of Trump in head-to-head match-ups. Biden is ahead by 12.
The three leading Democrats are about even in favorability ratings (Biden +8, Sanders +7, Warren +6). Kamala Harris is quite a bit lower, but at +1 is still far more favorable than Trump, who is at -14. People still miss Obama, whose favorability rating is +23.
There is one very troubling fact for Trump in the Fox News analysis: among voters who don’t like either Biden or Trump, Biden holds a 33-point edge. That group represents about 10% of the electorate. Of those 10, four would go to Biden, one to Trump, and the other five would vote for a third party or stay home. That means that Trump starts the election about three points down on a group of people that don’t even like Biden. That is the opposite of 2016, when Trump held a 20 to 30-point edge among those who disliked both him and Hillary.