Box office: The sequel to The Shining failed to emit even a faint gleam.

Profitability: “‘Doctor Sleep’ Set To Lose $20M+ For Warner Bros. In Trio Of Fall Duds. It’s the third dud from the Burbank lot in a row this fall after wide releases The Goldfinch (a reported $50M loss) and Motherless Brooklyn (studio’s exposure is less than 25% on the $26M production, which has only rung up $7.5M WW to date).”

As Congreve said, “Heaven has no rage like love to hatred turned.”

Some kinda weird stuff happened this week. Call it “any given Sunday.”

  • The Dolphins won on the road
  • The Jets beat the Giants in the battle of really crappy NY teams.
  • The Saints, Chiefs and Rams all lost

Not everything was surprising. The Bengals were as god-awful as ever against the Ravens, and the Pack won.

Two elite teams did not play. The Pats have a bye week and the Niners play Monday Night.

Depressing stat of the week: Patrick Mahomes passed for 446 yards with three TDs and no picks – and lost!

This is what people are really thinking, and they’re lying in real life.”

There is almost certainly a large kernel of truth to that statement, but I have to admit that I prefer some of the pretty lies we tell one another to the harsh reality exposed on the chan boards. Unfettered anonymous speech teaches one that life is uglier than imagined.

Movies about mind readers never really tell the truth, do they? I think the reality is that you would not want to know what people are really thinking.

The official committee rankings come out later in the week, but here’s how the writers and coaches see it.

The identities of the top three are obvious, if not their precise order.

ESPN Analytics strongly supported giving the top seed to LSU: “LSU ranks first in Strength of Record and it isn’t close. An average top-25 team would have had just a 1% chance to be undefeated thus far against LSU’s schedule. Meanwhile that seem team would have had a 16% chance to go undefeated vs. Ohio State’s schedule, the next best. Among the undefeateds, Clemson had it easiest: an average top 25 team would have had a 29% chance to be 10-0 at this point against the Tigers’ schedule.”

Sagarin’s analytics completely disagree with LSU’s primacy. He places Ohio State first by a mile. His ratings show that Ohio State would be favored over LSU by nine points on neutral turf and nearly two touchdowns if they played in Columbus. Sagarin does agree, however, that LSU has played the toughest schedule of all the undefeated teams, with nobody else very close, so his superior ranking of Ohio State must be based on margin of victory.

At the end of the day, it doesn’t really matter which team is rated #1 in the regular season, as long as the potential claimants are all in the top four, allowing them to face off head-to-head against the others.

In answer to the question I posed yesterday, “who will be #4?”, both polls responded “Alabama.” I guess it’s fair to say the Tide is the top one-loss team, given that the team’s only loss was to the #1 team by less than a TD. Sagarin completely agrees. In fact, his computer rankings still place Alabama above Clemson! He runs three different computer models, then consolidates them into his final rating, and all three base models place the same four teams in the top four. The other side of the argument is that ‘Bama probably will not be in the SEC championship game which, absent any upsets, will probably pit LSU against Georgia! If Alabama makes the top four, they will still have a chance at the national championship, despite finishing third in their own conference!

Major move of the week: the undefeated Minnesota Gophers rose six spots after their defeat of Penn State.

“Bill Hader‘s now-iconic New York City correspondent may be gone from the NBC sketch comedy series, but over the course of 10 years he solidified his legacy as one of the best SNL characters ever. And the long-running series is celebrating the legend by releasing every single appearance of Stefon on SNL ever, for the first time. Say it with us: Yes yes yes yes yes yes.”

The Stefon mad-lib – write your own

Stefon: If you want to treat your (relative or holiday celebrant), New York’s hottest club is (onomatopoeic word), the inspiration of (underground artist of some kind with a mildly offensive pun name sounding gay). Located in (unlikely location that sounds vaguely New Yorky), this club has everything: (three silly objects that have no place in a club), a (silly thing or animal) that looks like (obscure celebrity), and a human (noun).

Seth: What’s a human (noun)

Stefon: It’s that thing where (number) midgets ___________. (Breaks up) And, look, over there in the corner – is that (major celebrity). No! It’s (something absurdly unrelated to that celebrity)

Let’s give it a try …

If you want to treat your Valentine to a special night, New York’s hottest club is Quack!, the creation of former beat poet, Tranny Aiello. Located in the two bathtubs from an old Cialis commercial, under an abandoned “el” trestle on the upper south side, this club has everything: pool noodles, smoke signals, slide whistles, five tree stumps that look like Sam the Sham and the Pharoahs, and a human carousel

What’s a human carousel?

It’s that thing where eight midgets in horse costumes run around in a circle. (Cracks up) And look over there in the corner! Is that Will Smith? No. It’s a half-eaten breakfast burrito.

Top 25 report, week 11.

The important thing at the end of the year is to be in the top four …

but two of the top four lost today.

#3 Alabama and #4 Penn State are no longer among the unbeaten teams. Will they both exit the top four? Obviously, unbeaten #5 Clemson will rise to the #3 spot. There’s no mystery there.

But which team will be #4? Will the committee keep Alabama in the #4 spot? Will it be Georgia? Oklahoma? Oregon? The upstart Minnesota? Stay tuned.

I hear more and more people referring to Elizabeth Warren as the Democratic front-runner, but the national polls just don’t reflect that. She is not beating Biden in any of the recent polls, although they are tied on one.

In the most recent Harvard-Harris poll, Warren is in a distant third, and Biden has as much support as Bernie and Warren added together. (33-18-15)

Warren is, however, the frontrunner in Iowa and New Hampshire, so maybe that’s what the pundits are referring to.

“Democrats in the country’s most pivotal general election battlegrounds prefer a moderate presidential nominee who would seek common ground with Republicans rather than pursue an ambitious, progressive agenda, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll of primary voters across six states. As the Democratic candidates intensify their argument over how best to defeat President Trump, their core voters in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Arizona and Florida are counseling them to pursue a political middle ground.”

NOTES:

(1) Biden has large leads in most of those states, although Warren leads a close three-way race in Wisconsin.

(2) Those states still have large numbers of undecided voters

(3) Everyone below Buttigieg is dead in the water, and he ain’t doin’ so well himself, despite his massive war chest.