Coronavirus mapped and quantified:

52 thoughts on “COVID-19 update

  1. I wish Fauci hadn’t held back on recommending masks because of trying to keep supplies for medical use. It makes me reluctant to fully trust the things he says.

    1. He walks a tightrope every day about not saying what he believes to be correct.

      1) He is employed by an administration that does not value truth, so in may cases he has to couch his advice in terms that will not get him fired.

      2) In that particular case, he felt it was the only way to prevent a “run” on the equipment. If he had told the truth – “You need it, but right now the docs and nurses need it more” – people would have thought “Fuck them. You just said I need it. I’m getting it.” We are not a populace that can handle common sense and reasonable advice, as we have proved repeatedly. As much as I hate that he manipulated us, I understand why he did it.

          1. Died on social security and Medicare…such a dedication to principle….another “do as I say not as I do” person.

          2. Oh, I am sure she would argue that it made sense for her, as an individual, to grab anything that was available to everyone, and that she had been forced to contribute to it anyway, and so on and so forth. Such people do not lack for self-justification, and they can argue rings around me.

  2. “The novel coronavirus is showing some signs of mutating in a way that may make it easier for the pathogen to spread, according to Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institute for Allergy and Infectious Diseases.”

    The “good” news of the day.

  3. Coronavirus Death Toll Is a Substantial Undercount
    July 1, 2020 at 5:40 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 56 Comments

    “The number of confirmed U.S. deaths due to the coronavirus is substantially lower than the true tally,” CNBC reports.

    “The 781,000 total deaths in the United States in the three months through May 30 were about 122,300, or nearly 19% higher, than what would normally be expected, according to the researchers. Of the 122,300 excess deaths, 95,235 were attributed to Covid-19… Most of the rest of the excess deaths, researchers said, were likely related to or directly caused by the coronavirus.”

  4. Hospitalizations are ever increasing…that suggests that at the current rate people will die for lack of access to adequate care.

    1. I really think that is correct, but at this moment I won’t make any predictions. The one thing that seems certain is that we are not doing enough to mitigate the spread, so the number of cases should keep increasing unless there is far more intervention from our leaders.

      It is good to see some governors, even the Republicans, slowly getting the message, but others are really being reactionary. (The guy in Nebraska is just astoundingly obstinate in his actions. He not only won’t take action himself, but he also won’t allow the communities with problems to take pro-mask action.)

      1. It’s amazing how quickly this has become the new global warming – with willingness to bury your head in the sand signifying loyalty to the party.

        1. It ain’t no party anymore; it’s a moron-worshipping cult. And when it was still a party, the Kochs and the oil companies spent their money well to buy complete lockstep compliance with their interests. Now that Republicans (sure as hell not me when I was one) have gotten used to a you didn’t see it, you didn’t hear it way of looking at things as a sign of proper loyalty, it’s easy for them to be complete know nothings about anything even when it’s a question of their own continued existence.

  5. Covid-19 Surge Begins Reaching Older, More Vulnerable Floridians…

    This won’t just happen in Florida.

    1. I don’t think it’s fair to say that “deaths” were a feature, but “cases” definitely were. They figured they’d let everyone young and healthy get it while they protected the vulnerable. The latter task proved more difficult than they expected, so I guess “deaths” were a defect.

      Sad to look at the daily fatalities and see one of the world’s most progressive countries lumped in with the countries that have incompetent leadership and/or third world facilities and hygiene.

      1. The fact that Sweden are staying the course makes it a “feature.” Just read the nonsense their expert spouts. And read the WSJ piece on Sweden detailing where nursing home patients were put on morphine as they were deemed hopeless without even being examined by a doctor. One son whose father was handled this way called in the local TV crew at which point the nursing home reversed course and began treating his father who survived.

        1. I had not heard about any of that. I don’t have a WSJ subscription, but from what you cited, it would be heartbreaking in a third world country, and is utterly shocking for this bastion of modern progressive thought.

  6. Florida is reporting 8,942 new covid-19 cases on Friday, blowing past its single-day high of 5,511 set on Wednesday. It is the 19th day in a row the state has hit a new average high.

  7. My annual jaunt to Schipol (A’dam) is next month. Getting worried to put it mildly. The Warsaw/Krakow/Lviv*/Kiyev itinerary got scrapped months ago.

    *Lviv/Lvov/Lwow/Lemberg/Leopolis/etc.

    1. The only places in continental Europe I have stayed overnight in are Amsterdam and Luxembourg, both very nice places. I wonder if Lux is open for visitors? They had about 7 breweries back then, so it was a good place if you liked beer.

      1. Have been doing cities and battlefields in Europe with the GF who now lives in Haarlem for some years now. We’re mainly genteel winos (you can actually get affordable Burgundy in Holland) but have very fond memories of the Pilsner Urquell on tap in Brno the night after we tromped around Austerlitz. Love A’dam. Nearest we’ve gotten to Lux was Sedan, the French disaster city (1870 & 1940). Sedan was the site of one of my favorite historical “Oh shit” quotes. When a French general saw all the Prussian guns up on the heights, he said “Nous sommes dans un pot de chambre et nous y’serons emmerdes!” (We are in a chamber pot and are about to get crapped on).

        1. Sounds like a wonderful way to see Europe. I took a day trip to Metz, which I think was also the site of French disasters in 1870 and 1940. I could be be wrong, but I think the OTHER main French army was encircled there in 1870. It’s an ancient place.

          It’s also an easy trip to Trier in Germany from Luxembourg. It has some Roman ruins, but I was mostly interested in seeing a German city.

          That French quote is excellent, and applicable to so many situations.

          1. You’re correct. Boney the Third was at Sedan while Bazaine was holed up in Metz. 2 armies giftwrapped for Moltke.
            The Trier area has my favorite wine region close by. Might actually hit it this year. If they let me into A’dam that is.
            As for bfields, Waterloo is overrun by French. They “loved” our T’s – I was wearing Goya’s Wellington & Lena had a Bluecher (I love Zazzle).

    1. Yeah, it’s pretty sad that Europe is looking to ban travelers from shithole countries that can’t or won’t control the virus, and we are at or near the top of the list!

      Although I will call shenanigans on that if they freely allow Swedes into the rest of Europe.

    1. I don’t think you read that right. They reported 104 new cases on Wednesday, bringing their total to 1022 cases since the crisis began.

      Those are the same numbers that appeared yesterday on worldometers.info.

  8. “Arizona recorded 3,593 additional, known cases of the virus, as well as a rolling average in new infections 77 percent higher than last Tuesday’s. The state is now reporting 2,136 hospitalizations, up about 7 percent from the 1,992 reported Monday and more than double the number at the beginning of the month.
    Hospital bed usage and intensive-care unit usage are at 83 percent and 84 percent, respectively. Health officials, including White House coronavirus task force member Anthony S. Fauci, have said spikes in hospitalizations are particularly worrisome.”

  9. People in Wisconsin have priorities… “Four people who spent time at Cruisin’ Chubbys Gentlemen’s Club, a Wisconsin strip club, recently tested positive.”

  10. It just dawned on me that one of the regulars had failed to show up in the fatalities per million in the last few days. Seems like Sweden haven’t reported cases or fatalities since the 18th. I guess it could be the weekend thing, but still.

    1. If you don’t report numbers (or test)…it’s like the virus doesn’t exist…Looks like Sweden has taken a cue from Trump.

      1. Actually, it’s their big summer solstice festival now…Sweden effectively shuts down. That’s why you’re not seeing the numbers.

        1. Oh I know. I have colleagues in Sweden. They take Friday and half of Thursday off to celebrate that stuff every year. I guess that’s a valid explanation.

  11. “On the other hand, the spread of the virus has not yet been reflected in fatalities. Saturday marked 19 consecutive days in which fatalities in the States have been lower than the same day of the previous week.”

    A medical doctor in charge of a Corona virus unit wrote a speculative paper that, in the United States anyway, the virus *might be* mutating to become less virulent. He sited that even with the increase in cases from a few weeks ago there has not been an increase in hospitalizations, and that those who are hospitalized, in aggregate, are experiencing less severe symptoms.

    He didn’t speculate on what exactly he thought might be causing this, mutation is only one possibility, but that might be some good news.

    One other thing he mentioned though is that somehow the virus might have struck first those most likely to be seriously affected, but I have no idea what sort of mechanism could have resulted in that.

    He mentioned that mask wearing and distancing, to the degree Americans are doing those, might be resulting in the spread resulting in less virulent cases contagious) and, I believe, he may also have speculated in general that the heat might be weakening the virus.

    On the other hand, there are similar anecdotal reports in other parts of the world that the virus is becoming more severe with it taking longer for people to recover. I suppose it could be the case that the virus is mutating differently in different parts of the world.

    1. I thinks that’s purely idle speculation. Hospitalizations are up in States that are now being hard hit. Additionally, fatalities are a known lagging indicator for this virus. It often takes over a month to die. In numerous cases, the disease is not severe until the second week of symptoms.

  12. Fatalities for Covid-19 are lagging indicators. We’ll see what 33k new cases brings in around 4-5 weeks.

    1. Exactly. You have the lag of people slowing coming out of lockdown and in contact with one another. Then the lag of the latency period of the virus. Then the lag of hospitalization. Then for those unfortunate, the lag of fatalities. All going straight into cooler weather in the fall.

  13. Hmmm Chile is 85%+ O positive blood type…I thought that was supposed to offer protection against Covid-19. “The risk for severe COVID-19 was 45% higher for people with type A blood than those with other blood types. It appeared to be 35% lower for people with type O.“

    1. Assuming that hypothesis is true, the statement says “severe” COVID-19. So it could be that the protection is not against the getting the bug, but against developing bad symptoms later.

      Of course, that should translate into lower death rate, but then other factors such as healthcare infrastructure also play into that.

      1. Medical facilities in Chile are some of the best in South America. The health care system is public-private.

  14. Actually the reported cases chart on the first link (world outbreak monitored) says the total new cases worldwide on Wednesday was 146,111, which is worse than Tuesday. We’re still going in the wrong direction.

    1. They sometimes go back and change it after they close it out. It was 141, 872 when they first reported it.

  15. The Toady (our beloved Vice President) produced an epic in the WSJ on how our Dear Leader has successfully guided us through the Democrat hoax virus. Today Alexandra Petri in the Post has her take on Pence’s wisdom. Don’t miss it if you have access to WAPO. The comments are a bonus.

    1. Well it fits in with Bolton’s book, which excerpts are now being released that Trump was bending over and taking it up the ass from Xi begging him to help him win the election, while stating he could wish he could execute journalists and loves pro-concentration camps. Hides in a bunker, wishes he could get someone else to execute journalists for him and open concentration champs, while sucking Xi off on the side for help.

      What’s the play now Trump fuckheads? You gonna play Bolton up as a liberal deep state insider now, or what? You know, the conservative war hawk you guys were in love over around 15 years ago.

      Nah, you’ll just sit at home, buy another gun, find something to hide behind while you down your 5th Big Mac of the day and watch FOX News hoping your master can come up with some new reason to compensate for your small dick inadequacies to rally behind.

      Four and a half months, and its ballgame. Your bitch made President is showing what a triggered little snowflake he is. Game over.

      1. Hey, was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Fuckhead’s gonna throw *everything* – legal, moral, ethical, or less so – at winning. There’ll be someone “invading” us, definitely some sort of October surprise, and 31 flavors of jiggery-pokery with the votes. It ain’t over til we drive a stake through his heart and snap it off. I don’t even care at this point whether he goes to prison, just GTFO you dotard.

        1. I wish it was about a month out, but the inertia is rolling against him, not for him at this point. It’s pretty clear COVID-19 isn’t contained and will likely rebound hard in the fall, the moratorium on evictions isn’t paying the past bills for people without jobs, and the economy isn’t recovering. He’s also managed to fuel the flames of civil unrest and dig a deeper grave, while many of the rank and file previously in his administration are firing cannons at him.

          Not only is he down in the battleground states right now, places that weren’t even battlegrounds states that were considered to be red are working against him. Here’s the most recent rundown:

          National: Biden +8.4
          CO: Biden +16.3
          ME: B +13.1
          NM: B +12.9
          MI: B +10.3
          VA: B +10.1
          NV: B +7.4
          NH: B +7.2
          WI: B +6.5
          MN: B +6.1
          FL: B +6.0
          PA: B +4.4
          AZ: B +4.2
          NC: B +2.5
          OH: B +2.2
          GA: B +0.1
          IA: Trump +1.0
          TX: T +1.2

          That doesn’t mean complacency, but this is a full on self implosion. Funneling money to Wall Street isn’t doing shit for his prospects any longer, and I don’t see citizens becoming more complacent, I see them becoming more active to overthrow this piece of shit.

          1. Let’s hope it just comes down to overvote. But the bigger the margin the less likely he tries to pull some shit to stay in the WH because of “vote fraud”.

          2. Trump will just say it was massive voter fraud due to
            allowing widespread voting by mail.

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