A summary. Among other things, he says

  • John Bolton opposed his decision to ban some travel from China. (Bolton had been gone for many months by that time.)
  • He has “two African-American friends and supporters” who told him about Juneteenth
  • Masks and testing are overrated in the battle against the coronavirus.
  • In fact, some Americans might wear face masks not as a way to prevent the spread of coronavirus but as a way to “signal disapproval” of him.

I should have known. He’s Dean Wormer!

His conversations are not just classified. They’re HIGHLY classified.

Trump is walking into a trap on this one. He is limiting his options to respond when the book is released. I think he will want to claim that Bolton is lying and spreading “fake news.” But he can’t do that if he insists that Bolton is revealing classified conversations. Obviously, fictional conversations can’t be classified. They must be either fake or classified, but can’t be both.

His case: Well, Obama was elected.

Not much of a case. Obama lost the white vote in a landslide in 2012. He lost to Romney 59-39. He held on to the White House because he won 93% of the black vote and more than 70% of the other minorities

Of every 100 voters in that election:

72 were white and they split 29-43 Romney
13 were black and they split 12-1 Obama
13 were Latino or Asian and they split 10-3 Obama

 

The strongest case that racism is deeply ingrained in the USA: in a 2016 poll, only 27% of Republicans agreed with this statement: “Barack Obama was born in the United States,” despite the fact that there was never any logic or evidence to support their belief and an overwhelming mountain of evidence of Obama’s birth in Hawaii.

Let’s be honest. There’s only one reason to hold that belief, as summed up in this clip:



We have streets full of angry protesters and angry cops, plus a fatal pandemic and an economic collapse. We have a leader who dismisses the health threats, wants to use the military against American civilians, and thinks the sight of protesters being tear-gassed is a “beautiful scene.” And those are just the domestic problems! So I’m kinda curious about the 8% who think things are hunky-dory.

Nothing to it. He’ll snap his fingers like Thanos, and …

racism … gone
bigotry … gone
police brutality … gone

Just as he made the coronavirus go away “like a miracle.”

President Trump praised the use of tear gas and other force to disperse Minneapolis protesters, calling it a ‘beautiful scene’ and describing the National Guard’s actions ‘like a knife cutting butter.'”


Another bold strategy, Cotton!


Just three weeks ago, Trump had climbed into positive territory on Gallup, at +1 with 49% approval, 48% disapproval. In those past three weeks, he has declined to -18, with 39% approval, 57% disapproval. It’s worth noting that he has recovered from much worse positions in the past. At one point in 2017 he was at -25.

TRIVIA: Trump is the only President in history who has never reached 50% approval on Gallup’s metrics.

Attorney General William Barr said Monday that Washington, D.C. protests were so violent that the U.S. Secret Service recommended President Trump be moved to an underground bunker at the White House.

===========

Trump denied that the Secret Service recommended he move to the bunker for safety reasons. Brian Kilmeade asked him: “Mr. President, they didn’t say to you, ‘You have to go downstairs. My responsibility’s your welfare.’ ?”

TRUMP: “No. They didn’t tell me that at all, but they said it would be a good time to go down. Take a look because maybe sometime you’re going to need it.”

That Mittens! What a wimp, taking an anti-racism stance. Guy needs to man up if he wants to be a true, macho Republican.

To be fair to Mitt, maybe he’s just out of practice at kicking black asses. There just aren’t many to kick in Utah. Maybe he doesn’t even realize that some people aren’t white.

“Oh, dear, are they saying black LIVES, with a v. I thought they were talking about black LIES – you know, like little white lies and big black ones.”

And yet, black people actually like Trump less than liberals do! Trump won 10% of the liberal vote in 2018, but only 8% of the black vote. Not only that, but only 13% of black Americans think Trump is not a racist. They just refuse to believe his tweets. Why, those thugs!

Has there ever been a larger gap between the way a person perceives himself and the way he is seen by the outside world?

In order to illustrate that Trump gets unfair special treatment from Twitter, one guy created a new account and simply Tweeted the exact same thing as Trump. He was soon suspended for twelve hours, exposing Twitter’s hypocrisy.

Stay tuned. He’s going to resume when his suspension is lifted, although it may not work now that Twitter is aware of his scheme.



Godwin’s Law:

“As an online discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving Nazis or Hitler approaches 1”.

Like this:

The best comment on Trump’s church visit came from Sulu:


He once again violated their terms of service, and they once again refused to ban him or block his Tweet. Instead they posted:

“This Tweet violated the Twitter Rules about glorifying violence. However, Twitter has determined that it may be in the public’s interest for the Tweet to remain accessible”

Twitter users are not taking it well that Trump’s personal account gets this preferential treatment, and are calling for him to be banned.

Note that Trump had previously referred to the heavily armed (white) Michigan protesters as “very good people,” while he referred to these unarmed people as “thugs.” He does love to drag out the racist dog whistles. Why doesn’t he just call them the n-word and be done with it.

Meanwhile, get ready for his meltdown when he wakes up!

////

Related:

While Trump is batshit crazy to threaten to go full Kent State on the protesters, he also seems to be correct that the situation in Minneapolis is out of control. George Floyd protesters set a Minneapolis police station afire, and protesters set fire to several buildings in the Lake Street corridor, many of them housing small businesses with minority owners. The Minnesota National Guard mobilized more than 500 soldiers to Minneapolis and St. Paul.

Update:

Related story: Twitter is also fact-checking the Chinese

Two of Trump’s close GOP allies in Congress signaled Wednesday a willingness to strip the social media giant of the special speech liability immunity it receives.”

What he doesn’t seem to have thought through is that the speech liability immunity is what allows them to have a Donald Trump Twitter account in the first place. If they become legally liable for every crazy thing he says on the platform, they would have no choice but to delete his account completely. The Joe Scarborough murder accusation, something that could not possibly be true, is the most recent example. Twitter had given Trump plenty of latitude with this because they are protected from liability, but if that protection is removed, Twitter would be legally liable for Trump’s obviously false accusations, meaning that the woman’s family and/or Morning Joe could sue them. They would basically be forced to delete his account, or at least to delete that and other legally actionable tweets.

Trump seems to think Twitter has singled him out for unfair treatment, and he is absolutely right. What he doesn’t seem to grasp is that it has been unfair in his favor. Twitter has been giving him preferential treatment for years. He has composed hundreds of Tweets that would have caused Joe Average to be banned permanently, but he has never even been given a temporary blackout.

Pompeo has claimed that he could not have asked to dismiss the IG to suppress an investigation into his actions because he was not aware of any investigation.

Except he was:

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo refused to sit for an interview with the State Department inspector general’s office as part of its probe into the administration’s move to bypass Congress and expedite last year’s $8 billion arms sale to Saudi Arabia by declaring an emergency, a congressional aide told CNN Monday.”

He did provide written answers, so he was certainly aware of the investigation.

Also suspicious:

1. Pompeo can’t produce any alternative explanation for why he wanted the IG gone. He just babbles on about the guy being “not additive.” When asked for specifics, he disappears.

2. Pompeo has not denied any of the charges when given the chance to do so.

The inspector general who was dismissed had been investigating Pompeo for using State Department employees to run personal errands, and had been digging into the administration’s having inappropriately fast-tracked a Saudi arms deal.

“When asked whether the allegations were true, he declined to comment. ‘I’m not going to answer the host of unsubstantiated allegations about any of that,’ he said.”

Now in the history of the human race, no politician has ever passed up the chance to say “Of course not. There’s absolutely no truth to it at all.” Probable conclusion: guilty AF.

1. Trump-inspired actions were “retaliatory”? Thank you, Captain Obvious.
2. The OSC has made a “request.” No problem. Request denied.
3. The special counsel will be fired and replaced by a poodle groomer wearing a MAGA hat.
4. Problem solved.

Oh, a benign idiot would still be better than an evil idiot, but would it be too much trouble for just one of our major political parties to give us a candidate who thinks matters through before he speaks?

Biden tweeted his support for the women’s team to keep moving forward in the wake of a judge’s ruling against the USWNT in its equal pay lawsuit. Biden said that he wanted U.S. Soccer to pay the women’s team equally to the men’s team. And if it didn’t, he would withdraw support for the World Cup should he be elected president.”

Yeah, that’s just what we need – a president who ignores due process and issues an executive fiat based on an emotional reaction to an issue he hasn’t studied.

Been there, done that.

The Judge made the exact right decision. The women’s equal pay suit had no merit. The reason they don’t get paid on exactly the same formula as the men is that they were offered that formula and turned it down. When they were negotiating their CBA, one of the offers on the table was “just take the men’s deal.” They didn’t want it because of the high risk involved. Instead of the higher performance-based salaries, they wanted more of the money guaranteed, they wanted longer terms on their contracts, they wanted more players on the team, and they wanted a different set of benefits. In fact, they bargained well. Their total compensation package is actually more than the men’s, even though their salaries are lower. The women get far more in total because they play more games, but they also get slightly more per game. Both sides before the judge stipulated that from 2015 to 2019, the period covered by the suit, the women’s national team averaged $220,747 per game in total payments, for a total of $24.5 million, while the men’s national team averaged $212,639 per game in total payments, for a total of $18.5 million. But now they are suing because the men get paid higher salaries – the same salaries the women were offered and turned down in order to improve the overall package.

The judge understandably ruled that such an Equal Pay Act claim had zero merit. Because he is a judge, he could not say that the claim seems to be a complete scam devised to make lawyers rich.

But I can.

The judge did rule that the rest of their suit could proceed. They also filed some claims under the Civil Rights Act regarding the unequal access to flights and hotels, proper medical services, quality of training facilities, etc. That part of their suit seems to have merit, or is at least debatable enough to require a full trial.

These political scientists have concluded that the coronavirus could impact the national political landscape, with the net result being harmful to conservatives. The logic:

– Older voters are more likely to die from coronavirus.
– Older voters are more likely to vote for Trump.
– The significant fatalities in Pennsylvania and Michigan, for example, could lose Trump enough voters to swing those states blue.

In my opinion, that is completely inaccurate.

Several reasons:

Even if all their assumptions were true, the math doesn’t work. As it currently stands, the death toll in Pennsylvania is likely to be no more than 5,000. Even assuming 4,000 of those are elderly (based on the national trend that 80% of fatalities are aged 65 or more), that would consist of about 2,200 Republicans and 1,800 democrats – a swing of only 400 votes. And that estimate is on the high end because there will likely be fewer than 5,000 fatalities, and Trump is likely to get less than 55% of the elderly vote against Biden (the red team won the 2018 mid-terms by only two points in the 65+ demographic). So the real swing may be just a couple hundred votes, even granting their assumptions.

But their assumptions are not valid. The major problem with their hypothesis lies in a fact they have ignored – that the outbreak disproportionately affects urban minorities – and those voters are overwhelmingly blue, even among the elderly. In the 2018 mid-term elections, elderly black voters voted 88% blue!

Here’s how the math works out, based on the 2018 mid-terms, considering only the lump sum of black voters plus white voters, and temporarily ignoring latinos, asians and others. I’m going to call that black/white elderly group the population sample, so I don’t have to keep retyping the above explanation each time:

Among people aged 65 and older, the ratio of white voters to black is 11-1.
White voters over 65 vote 57-43 red.
Black voters over 65 vote 88-12 blue.

Therefore:

If corona kills both races proportionately to the number of voters, then 53% of the deaths in the population sample will be Republicans.

BUT

If elderly black voters are 16% of the deaths instead of the 8% they represent in the population sample, then the majority of the deaths will be Democrats.

It is absolutely no stretch to think that the percentage of elderly people to die from corona in that population sample will be more than 16% black, possibly far more.

The crazy high percentage of black people who vote Democratic is the very reason why Republicans strive so mightily to keep them from the polls, and why even a slightly higher percentage of black people in any group can turn the group’s majority from red to blue.

The Wisconsin state legislature and several courts overrode the governor’s decisions about postponing the elections or allowing additional time for mail-in ballots. It was a brilliant strategy on the part of the conservatives. Milwaukee was so overridden with corona that 175 of the usual 180 polling stations had to close for lack of staff. This made it extremely difficult to vote in Milwaukee, which is liberal and ethnic. Then the conservatives got a ruling at the 11th hour that mail-in ballots had to be postmarked by election day – even though many people had not yet received the ballots they had requested two weeks in advance!

Meanwhile, voting in the conservative areas upstate was easy and painless.

It was a plan worthy of a Bond villain, and the most important objective (really the only important objective) was to get an ultra-conservative re-elected to the state supreme court.

Only one problem. He lost.

While the GOP puppet masters were focusing on Milwaukee, they turned their backs on Madison, which gave the liberal an astounding 76-24 margin of victory there. Meanwhile, the turnout in Milwaukee was fairly respectable, and the liberal won there 69-31. The state’s other metro area, stretching from Green Bay to Oshkosh (Brown, Outagamie and Winnebago counties), which actually has more voters than Madison, was split quite evenly, but even there it was the liberal with a small advantage.

The Bond villains have to be wondering what went wrong with a plan that seemed foolproof.