Biden won Virginia by a mile (99), but Sanders will make threshold.
Biden will win Alabama by a mile (52). Sanders will make the threshold.
Biden has won North Carolina (110). Sanders will make threshold.
Biden has won Tennessee (64). Sanders and Bloomberg will make threshold.
Biden has won Oklahoma (37). Sanders will make threshold. Bloomberg and Warren will come close, but miss.
Biden has won Arkansas (31). Sanders and Bloomberg will make threshold.
Biden has won Minnesota (75). Sanders will make the threshold, and Warren should barely make it as well.
Biden has won Maine (24). Maine is meaningless since it has few votes and three candidates will split them. (Warren will also make the threshold.)
Biden will win Texas (228), but may not gain much of an edge from the state because Bernie was close, and Bloomberg may make the threshold. (Bloomberg is sitting at 14.9 as I type this.)
Biden has won Massachusetts (91). Sanders and Warren will make the threshold.
Elizabeth Warren finished third in her home state, which is a major setback. It is not clear to me what her motivation may be for staying in, given no credible path to the nomination and the bookies setting 100-1 odds against her.
UPDATE: “Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) is taking a day to assess whether she still has a path to the Democratic nomination after a disappointing Super Tuesday in which she failed to net a substantial delegate haul.”
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Sanders has won Vermont by a mile (16), but Biden will make the threshold.
Sanders has won Colorado (67), but will not gain much because the other three will all make the threshold, so the delegates will be split.
Sanders has won Utah (29), but may not gain much because the other three may all make the threshold, so again the delegates could be split quite evenly. (That’s the way it looks now, but Utah’s reporting is extremely slow. All three of them are on the edge, and could drop below 15% after all the votes are counted.)
Sanders will win California (415), where he outspent Biden twenty to one, convincingly. Biden will make the threshold. Bloomberg will probably not make it. He is at 14.3% at the moment. That will be Bernie’s big plum for the evening, and the only place where he will really gain a big edge on Biden.
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Bloomberg won American Samoa. Break out the champagne! (6). He will get at least 4 delegates. Tulsi Gabbard is the only other candidate that made the threshhold and will get at least 1 delegate.
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Note that candidates can obtain delegates by either winning 15 percent of the vote statewide OR hitting 15 percent in a single congressional district, so some candidates will get a smattering of delegates in states where they did not reach 15% statewide. (For example, Bloomberg will win some delegates in California and Texas.)
The exit polls show that Bernie absolutely dominates among young voters and Latinos, but has had no success building black support. He couldn’t even pull 20% of the black vote in California.
It appears that all the planets are aligned against Sanders. With Bloomberg gone, the people siphoning Biden votes are all out. The main person siphoning Bernie votes (Warren) is staying in for the moment.
