Coronavirus info and quantification:
- world outbreak quantified daily and weekly
- testing by states
- states ranked based on positivity rate
- states and countries ranked by vaccination coverage and doses per capita
- USA fatality projections
- daily hospital admissions and total hospitalized
- CDC’s weekly data review
- state and county data by key criteria
- interactive databases and graphing capabilities
UPDATED 5/10: Monday’s numbers
New cases, world per capita.
The number of new cases reported across the world on Monday was 611k, about 9% fewer than the same day last week. The non-India portion of the world declined by 12%.
18 major countries (population five million or more) were still in the red zone (143 cases per million population per day). Switzerland topped the world at 423.
Fatalities, world per capita
Across the globe, 10,560 fatalities were reported on Monday. That is about even (down 1%) with the same day last week. India reported a 13% increase, while the rest of the world declined by 9%.
24 major countries were in the red zone (3 per million per day). The highest were:
Only 12 major countries remained in the red zone in both categories (cases and fatalities). They are ordered below based on the number of consecutive days they have appeared on the list: Colombia, Iran, Argentina, Turkey, Paraguay, Chile, Nepal, Costa Rica, Belgium, Greece, Bulgaria and Oman.
Eight major countries have managed to fully vaccinate at least 20% of the population, with Israel far ahead of the rest of the world, and the USA far ahead of the rest of the developed economies.
No other major country is above 15.
Both Israel and the UK have administered at least one dose to at least half of their population. The USA is in third place at 46%.
Testing rates, USA
The current 7-day testing percentage held steady at 3.3%, the lowest it has ever been. Sunday, May 9, is the most recent day reported, and the positive testing percentage that day was 2.6% on about 875k tests.
Only five states were in the CDC red zone (10% positivity) on Monday. (The plus and minus signs indicate the direction since the previous report. Multiple signs indicate the number of consecutive reports in which the state has moved in that direction)
Idaho 16 –
Iowa 15 –
Kansas 13 –
Vaccination rates, USA.
- 35% of the population in the USA has been fully vaccinated as of Monday. Maine and Connecticut were the highest at 45% fully vaccinated, while Mississippi was the lowest at 25%.
- 46% of Americans have received at least one dose. Vermont has given at least one dose to 62% of their residents, the most successful state by that criterion.
- The USA ranks third in the world on both criteria.
As of May 7, the date of the latest CDC report available, 83% of people 65 years or older had received at least one dose of vaccine, and 70% were fully vaccinated.
New cases, USA
There were about 30K new cases reported in the USA on Monday, a 25% decline from the same day last week. 9 states and Puerto Rico are still in the red zone (143 per million population per day). Wyoming was the highest at 244.
The hospitalization numbers run some days behind real time. On Friday, May 7, the total number of Americans hospitalized with COVID was about 6,200 lower (18%) than it had been seven days earlier.
The following table represents the USA’s daily “new cases” total in thousands. Red backgrounds indicate an increase versus the same day of the previous week. Red numerals indicate an increase over the weekly average from the previous week.
|5 Weeks Ago||4 Weeks Ago||3 Weeks Ago||2 Weeks Ago||Last Week||This Week|
Monday’s new fatality count was 370, compared to 445 on the same day last week (down 17%). Only 4 states were still in the red zone (3 fatalities per million population per day). Delaware and Connecticut were the highest at 5.
The University of Washington computer model currently projects 949,000 deaths from the coronavirus before September 1, compared to a current 905,000 by their methodology, which now includes 331,000 unreported deaths.
No states were in Monday’s triple red zone (fatalities, new cases and testing percentage). Only two states were even in the double red zone (new cases and fatalities, but not testing percentage): Michigan and Connecticut.
The table below shows the USA’s daily COVID fatalities. Red backgrounds indicate an increase over the same day of the previous week. Red numerals indicate an increase over the weekly average from the previous week.
|5 Weeks Ago||4 Weeks Ago||3 Weeks Ago||2 Weeks Ago||Last Week||This Week|
ADDED 4/7: How could the world’s most vaccinated country be seeing an unprecedented spike in coronavirus cases? “The Seychelles situation is being watched all over the world for what it says about the effectiveness of vaccines. It is providing a critical case to consider the effectiveness of some vaccines and what range we have to reach to meet herd immunity.”
ADDED 3/25: India reports novel COVID-19 variant, daily deaths at year’s high. “New ‘double mutant variant’ detected, says health ministry amid concerns over highest single-day tally of new infections and deaths.”
ADDED 3/20: Europe has fallen far behind the USA and UK in vaccinations. Where did they go wrong? This is something President Trump’s administration got right. “The bloc shopped for vaccines like a customer. The United States basically went into business with the drugmakers, spending much more heavily to accelerate vaccine development, testing and production.”
ADDED 1/27: The new strain in Brazil is not only more transmissible than the original strain, but it is also more severe. Worse still, people who have had the first strain don’t seem to be immune to the new one!
Soon after the holidays, deaths and hospitalizations exploded. The hospital system buckled. The number of confirmed coronavirus deaths at home rose from a total of 35 from May through December to 178 so far this month, according to city health officials. That stunned Brazilian researchers who last month published a paper in Science proclaiming that 76 percent of Manaus’s population had already been infected with the virus.
“How can you have 76 percent of people infected and, at the same time, have an epidemic that’s bigger than the first?” asked author Ester Sabino. “This was a concern from the moment cases started to rise.”
As viruses course through a population, they inevitably mutate, although most such genetic changes are functionally insignificant. The coronavirus has spawned countless variants around the world. But P.1 — along with variants found in South Africa and Britain — is provoking particular concern. Not only does it have a spike protein mutation that could lead to a higher infection rate, it possesses what’s called an “escape mutation.” Also found in the South Africa variant, the mutation, known as E484k, could help it evade coronavirus antibodies.
ADDED 12/11: FDA authorizes the first coronavirus vaccine
ADDED 11/15: Doctors Are Calling It Quits Under Stress of the Pandemic. Another horrible irony of the pandemic – as we need more doctors, we have fewer. “About 8 percent of the doctors reported closing their offices in recent months, which the foundation estimated could equal some 16,000 practices. Another 4 percent said they planned to shutter within the next year.”
ADDED 10/14: “Proposal to let coronavirus spread naturally through US population interests White House and alarms medical establishment.” The math surrounding that strategy is terrifying. Scientists say that herd immunity requires about 2/3 of the population to have the antibodies. That’s 220 million people. In the USA in recent months, about 1.4% of the people who get the virus do not survive it. In other words, achieving herd immunity without a vaccine will require about three million Americans to die … and that’s IF IT WORKS!
UPDATED 6/19: This can’t be good: “The antibodies our bodies develop against COVID-19 can fade away in just two to three months.”
UPDATED 5/9: In a bizarre irony, hospitals are making mass lay-offs in the middle of the coronavirus pandemic. The institutions are suffering financially because they have had to eliminate all the most profitable parts of their business in order to treat corona victims. In all, 1.4 million health care workers lost their jobs in April, 135,000 of those in hospitals.
ADDED 3/28: The data reveal that covid-19 is much more dangerous for men. The data are consistent from country to country.
The Fake News Media and their partner, the Democrat Party, is doing everything within its semi-considerable power (it used to be greater!) to inflame the CoronaVirus situation, far beyond what the facts would warrant. Surgeon General, “The risk is low to the average American.”
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) March 9, 2020
March 4: “A lot of people will have this, and it’s very mild. They will get better very rapidly. They don’t even see a doctor. They don’t even call a doctor.”
Feb 26: “We have thousands or hundreds of thousands of people that get better, just by, you know, even going to work. Some of them go to work, but they get better.”
On the same day Larry Kudlow said coronavirus was “contained” on Feb. 25th, Trump’s campaign spox made an even more bold claim.
“We will not see diseases like the coronavirus come here..and isn’t it refreshing when contrasting it with the awful presidency of President Obama.” pic.twitter.com/O0DDH3Rvkw
— andrew kaczynski🤔 (@KFILE) April 4, 2020
The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA. We are in contact with everyone and all relevant countries. CDC & World Health have been working hard and very smart. Stock Market starting to look very good to me!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) February 24, 2020
The Dow was at 27,960 that day. One month later it was at 18,592.
China has been working very hard to contain the Coronavirus. The United States greatly appreciates their efforts and transparency. It will all work out well. In particular, on behalf of the American People, I want to thank President Xi!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) January 24, 2020
Jan 22: “We have it totally under control. It’s one person coming in from China, and we have it under control. It’s going to be just fine.”