Here’s a test that will give us some info on Tuesday about the value of prediction markets: the Iowa Senate race.
There is …
… a difference between modelers, polls and prediction markets in the Iowa Senate race. Polls have shown a race that is evenly split. Modelers, like Mr. Morris, have favored Josh Turek, the Democratic candidate. Prediction markets, including Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt, have favored Ashley Hinson, the Republican.














