Coronavirus info and quantification:
- world outbreak monitored
- testing by states
- states ranked based on positivity rate
- states and countries ranked by vaccination coverage and doses per capita
- USA fatality projections
- daily hospital admissions and total hospitalized
- CDC’s weekly data review
- COVID-19 vaccine eligibility, state by state.
- state and county data by key criteria
- interactive databases and graphing capabilities
UPDATED 4/17: Saturday’s numbers
New cases, world per capita.
The number of new cases reported across the world on Saturday was 782k, about 8% higher than the same day last week.
34 major countries (population five million or more) were in the red zone (143 cases per million population per day), topped by Turkey at 736. Turkey has been the worst country for the past seven days.
Fatalities, world per capita
Across the globe, 11,556 fatalities were reported on Saturday. That is 8% lower than the same day last week.
25 major countries are in the red zone (3 per million per day). Four countries are far higher than the rest.
No other country is higher than 11. Those four countries have been at 13 or higher for more than a week.
21 major countries remain in the red zone in both categories (cases and fatalities). They are ordered below based on the number of consecutive days they have appeared on the list: Lebanon, Hungary, Brazil, Jordan, Ukraine, Serbia, Colombia, Greece, Peru, Italy, Iran, Bulgaria, Turkey, Poland, Austria, Romania, Tunisia, Chile, Palestine, Belgium, Paraguay and Tunisia.
Only seven major countries have managed to fully vaccinate at least 10% of the population, with Israel far ahead of the rest of the world, and the USA far ahead of the rest of the developed economies.
Testing and vaccination rates, USA.
The current 7-day testing percentage held constant at 5.2%.
There is no state ranking report on the weekend. Ten states were in the CDC red zone (10% positivity) on Friday. (The plus and minus signs indicate the direction since the previous report. Multiple signs indicate the number of consecutive reports in which the state has moved in that direction)
Idaho 22 –
Iowa 20 –
Alabama 14 –
Mississippi 13 +
South Dakota 12 –
Pennsylvania 11 +
New Jersey 11 +
25% of the population in the USA has been fully vaccinated. As of Saturday, Maine, New Mexico and Alaska are the highest at 32% and Georgia and Alabama are the lowest at 19%.
New Hampshire, at 58%, is the only state to have given at least one dose to at least half of its population.
As of April 15, 80% of people 65 years or older have received at least one dose of vaccine and 63.7% are fully vaccinated.
New cases, USA
There were about 64K new cases reported in the USA on Saturday, an 4% decrease from the same day last week. 36 states, PR and DC are still in the red zone (143 per million population per day). Michigan was the highest by far at 608.
Hospitalization data runs some days behind real time. On Wednesday, April 14th, new hospitalizations were about 2% lower than the previous Wednesday, , but the total number of people hospitalized with COVID as of April 14th was about 2% higher than it was seven days earlier.
The following table represents the USA’s daily “new cases” total in thousands. Red backgrounds indicate an increase versus the same day of the previous week. Red numerals indicate an increase over the weekly average from the previous week.
|5 Weeks Ago||4 Weeks Ago||3 Weeks Ago||2 Weeks Ago||Last Week||This Week|
Saturday’s new fatality count was 738. That’s about the same as the same day last week.
23 states and DC are still in the red zone (3 fatalities per million population per day). The worst was Alabama at 10.
The University of Washington computer model now stands at 618,000 deaths from the coronavirus before August 1.
Four states were in Saturday’s triple red zone (fatalities, new cases, testing percentage), based on their most recent reporting: Michigan, New Jersey, Florida and Pennsylvania.
The table below shows the USA’s daily COVID fatalities. Red backgrounds indicate an increase over the same day of the previous week. Red numerals indicate an increase over the weekly average from the previous week.
|5 Weeks Ago||4 Weeks Ago||3 Weeks Ago||2 Weeks Ago||Last Week||This Week|
ADDED 4/14: FDA asserts the need for a pause on the J&J vaccine in the USA.
ADDED 3/25: India reports novel COVID-19 variant, daily deaths at year’s high. “New ‘double mutant variant’ detected, says health ministry amid concerns over highest single-day tally of new infections and deaths.”
ADDED 3/20: Europe has fallen far behind the USA and UK in vaccinations. Where did they go wrong? This is something President Trump’s administration got right. “The bloc shopped for vaccines like a customer. The United States basically went into business with the drugmakers, spending much more heavily to accelerate vaccine development, testing and production.”
ADDED 1/27: The new strain in Brazil is not only more transmissible than the original strain, but it is also more severe. Worse still, people who have had the first strain don’t seem to be immune to the new one!
Soon after the holidays, deaths and hospitalizations exploded. The hospital system buckled. The number of confirmed coronavirus deaths at home rose from a total of 35 from May through December to 178 so far this month, according to city health officials. That stunned Brazilian researchers who last month published a paper in Science proclaiming that 76 percent of Manaus’s population had already been infected with the virus.
“How can you have 76 percent of people infected and, at the same time, have an epidemic that’s bigger than the first?” asked author Ester Sabino. “This was a concern from the moment cases started to rise.”
As viruses course through a population, they inevitably mutate, although most such genetic changes are functionally insignificant. The coronavirus has spawned countless variants around the world. But P.1 — along with variants found in South Africa and Britain — is provoking particular concern. Not only does it have a spike protein mutation that could lead to a higher infection rate, it possesses what’s called an “escape mutation.” Also found in the South Africa variant, the mutation, known as E484k, could help it evade coronavirus antibodies.
ADDED 12/11: FDA authorizes the first coronavirus vaccine
ADDED 11/15: Doctors Are Calling It Quits Under Stress of the Pandemic. Another horrible irony of the pandemic – as we need more doctors, we have fewer. “About 8 percent of the doctors reported closing their offices in recent months, which the foundation estimated could equal some 16,000 practices. Another 4 percent said they planned to shutter within the next year.”
ADDED 10/14: “Proposal to let coronavirus spread naturally through US population interests White House and alarms medical establishment.” The math surrounding that strategy is terrifying. Scientists say that herd immunity requires about 2/3 of the population to have the antibodies. That’s 220 million people. In the USA in recent months, about 1.4% of the people who get the virus do not survive it. In other words, achieving herd immunity without a vaccine will require about three million Americans to die … and that’s IF IT WORKS!
UPDATED 6/19: This can’t be good: “The antibodies our bodies develop against COVID-19 can fade away in just two to three months.”
UPDATED 5/9: In a bizarre irony, hospitals are making mass lay-offs in the middle of the coronavirus pandemic. The institutions are suffering financially because they have had to eliminate all the most profitable parts of their business in order to treat corona victims. In all, 1.4 million health care workers lost their jobs in April, 135,000 of those in hospitals.
ADDED 3/28: The data reveal that covid-19 is much more dangerous for men. The data are consistent from country to country.
The Fake News Media and their partner, the Democrat Party, is doing everything within its semi-considerable power (it used to be greater!) to inflame the CoronaVirus situation, far beyond what the facts would warrant. Surgeon General, “The risk is low to the average American.”
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) March 9, 2020
March 4: “A lot of people will have this, and it’s very mild. They will get better very rapidly. They don’t even see a doctor. They don’t even call a doctor.”
Feb 26: “We have thousands or hundreds of thousands of people that get better, just by, you know, even going to work. Some of them go to work, but they get better.”
On the same day Larry Kudlow said coronavirus was “contained” on Feb. 25th, Trump’s campaign spox made an even more bold claim.
“We will not see diseases like the coronavirus come here..and isn’t it refreshing when contrasting it with the awful presidency of President Obama.” pic.twitter.com/O0DDH3Rvkw
— andrew kaczynski🤔 (@KFILE) April 4, 2020
The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA. We are in contact with everyone and all relevant countries. CDC & World Health have been working hard and very smart. Stock Market starting to look very good to me!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) February 24, 2020
The Dow was at 27,960 that day. One month later it was at 18,592.
China has been working very hard to contain the Coronavirus. The United States greatly appreciates their efforts and transparency. It will all work out well. In particular, on behalf of the American People, I want to thank President Xi!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) January 24, 2020
Jan 22: “We have it totally under control. It’s one person coming in from China, and we have it under control. It’s going to be just fine.”