Coronavirus mapped and quantified:
- world outbreak monitored
- USA testing and current hospitalizations
- states ranked based on positivity rate
- testing by states
- state and county data by key criteria
- USA fatality projections
- detailed correlations of COVID to demographics.
- interactive databases and graphing capabilities
UPDATED 1/21: Wednesday’s numbers
New cases, world per capita.
The number of new cases reported across the world on Tuesday was 672K, 12% lower than last Tuesday.
33 countries were in the red zone (143 cases per million population per day). The highest by far was Portugal at 1439.
Fatalities, world per capita.
Across the globe, 17,366 fatalities were reported on Wednesday, which is 11% higher than last Wednesday and the all-time record.
35 countries were in the red zone (3 fatalities per million population in a single day). The top four were:
22 countries were in the red zone in both criteria (new cases and new fatalities): the USA, the UK, Czechia, Russia, Italy, Tunisia, South Africa, Israel, Colombia, Portugal, Lebanon, Spain, Switzerland, Slovakia, Argentina, France, Brazil, the Netherlands, Costa Rica, Austria, Germany and Romania.
Testing rates, USA.
267 states were in the CDC red zone (10% positivity) on Wednesday. The nine listed below are the states that doubled the red line. (The plus and minus signs indicate the direction since the previous report. Multiple signs indicate the number of consecutive reports in which the state has moved in that direction)
Idaho 40 +
Pennsylvania 32 – – – –
Alabama 31 – – – – – – –
South Dakota 29 –
Mississippi 28 –
New cases, USA
There were about 188K new cases reported in the USA on Wednesday, 20% less than the same day last week.
49 states and D.C. were in the CDC red zone (a rate of 1000 patients per million inhabitants per week, or 143 per million for a single day). The highest was Kansas at 1206.
COVID hospitalizations declined in the USA for the 8th consecutive day, while the number of COVID patients in ICU declined for the 6th straight day and the number on ventilators declined for the 3rd straight day.
The following table represents the USA’s daily “new cases” total in thousands. Red backgrounds indicate there was no decrease versus the same day of the previous week. Red numerals indicate an increase over the weekly average from the previous week.
|5 Weeks Ago||4 Weeks Ago||3 Weeks Ago||2 Weeks Ago||Last Week||This Week|
Wednesday’s new fatality count was 4,374, which was 7% higher than last Thursday and the highest of all time.
43 states and Puerto Rico were in the red zone (3 or more fatalities in a day, per million population). Four states topped every country in the world:
24 States were in the triple red zone (testing positivity, new cases, new fatalities): Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Utah and Virginia.
The Washington computer model now projects 567,000 American deaths from the coronavirus before May 1, but with a decline in the daily death toll beginning about February 1.
The table below shows the USA’s daily COVID fatalities. Red backgrounds indicate an increase over the same day of the previous week. Red numerals indicate an increase over the weekly average from the previous week.
|5 Weeks Ago||4 Weeks Ago||32 Weeks Ago||2 Weeks Ago||Last Week||This Week|
ADDED 12/11: FDA authorizes the first coronavirus vaccine
ADDED 12/7: Pfizer tells U.S. officials it cannot supply substantial additional vaccine until late June or July. “Last summer, Pfizer officials had urged Operation Warp Speed to purchase 200 million doses, or enough of the two-shot regimen for 100 million people, according to people knowledgeable about the issue who spoke on the condition of anonymity because they weren’t authorized to discuss the situation. But the Warp Speed officials declined, opting instead for 100 million doses. But last weekend, with an FDA clearance expected any day, federal officials reached back out to the company asking to buy another 100 million doses. By then, Pfizer said it had committed the supply elsewhere”
ADDED 11/15: Doctors Are Calling It Quits Under Stress of the Pandemic. Another horrible irony of the pandemic – as we need more doctors, we have fewer. “About 8 percent of the doctors reported closing their offices in recent months, which the foundation estimated could equal some 16,000 practices. Another 4 percent said they planned to shutter within the next year.”
ADDED 10/14: “Proposal to let coronavirus spread naturally through US population interests White House and alarms medical establishment.” The math surrounding that strategy is terrifying. Scientists say that herd immunity requires about 2/3 of the population to have the antibodies. That’s 220 million people. In the USA in recent months, about 1.4% of the people who get the virus do not survive it. In other words, achieving herd immunity without a vaccine will require about three million Americans to die … and that’s IF IT WORKS!
ADDED 7/15: In a masterpiece of reasoning worthy of Descartes, Trump says the U.S. would have half the number of coronavirus cases if it did half the testing. (Of course it would have the same amount of cases today, and more tomorrow, since the undetected cases would cause spreading. It would have fewer cases reported in the short term, but that’s not much of a goal.) Even more important, fatalities and hospitalizations are also rising again. I suppose his solution to that is to close the hospitals and morgues.
ADDED 7/8: Turns out karma is real, and it can be a bitch. President Bolsonaro of Brazil Tests Positive for Coronavirus, Gee, I can’t imagine how a thing like this could happen – oh, wait (see below) …
Na Embaixada dos EUA, celebrando o 4 de julho, dia da independência americana. pic.twitter.com/CqtgUNxiSL
— Ernesto Araújo (@ernestofaraujo) July 4, 2020
ADDED 6/26: : It’s not a political thing, it’s a health thing. Even uber-conservative Darth Cheney wears a mask, as did his mentor, Darth Vader.
— Liz Cheney (@Liz_Cheney) June 26, 2020
NUMBER OF TIMES PENCE URGED US TO WEAR MASKS: 0
NUMBER OF TIMES PENCE URGED US TO PRAY: 3
“I just encourage every American to continue to pray. Pray for all of the families that have lost loved ones. Pray for our health care workers on the front lines and just continue to pray”
— igorvolsky (@igorvolsky) June 26, 2020
Or as Oliver Cromwell told his men, “Don’t bother keeping your powder dry. Just trust in God to stop their bullets.”
UPDATED 6/19: This can’t be good: “The antibodies our bodies develop against COVID-19 can fade away in just two to three months.”
UPDATED 5/9: In a bizarre irony, hospitals are making mass lay-offs in the middle of the coronavirus pandemic. The institutions are suffering financially because they have had to eliminate all the most profitable parts of their business in order to treat corona victims. In all, 1.4 million health care workers lost their jobs in April, 135,000 of those in hospitals.
ADDED 3/28: The data reveal that covid-19 is much more dangerous for men. The data are consistent from country to country.
The Fake News Media and their partner, the Democrat Party, is doing everything within its semi-considerable power (it used to be greater!) to inflame the CoronaVirus situation, far beyond what the facts would warrant. Surgeon General, “The risk is low to the average American.”
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) March 9, 2020
March 4: “A lot of people will have this, and it’s very mild. They will get better very rapidly. They don’t even see a doctor. They don’t even call a doctor.”
Feb 26: “We have thousands or hundreds of thousands of people that get better, just by, you know, even going to work. Some of them go to work, but they get better.”
On the same day Larry Kudlow said coronavirus was “contained” on Feb. 25th, Trump’s campaign spox made an even more bold claim.
“We will not see diseases like the coronavirus come here..and isn’t it refreshing when contrasting it with the awful presidency of President Obama.” pic.twitter.com/O0DDH3Rvkw
— andrew kaczynski🤔 (@KFILE) April 4, 2020
The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA. We are in contact with everyone and all relevant countries. CDC & World Health have been working hard and very smart. Stock Market starting to look very good to me!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) February 24, 2020
The Dow was at 27,960 that day. One month later it was at 18,592.
China has been working very hard to contain the Coronavirus. The United States greatly appreciates their efforts and transparency. It will all work out well. In particular, on behalf of the American People, I want to thank President Xi!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) January 24, 2020
Jan 22: “We have it totally under control. It’s one person coming in from China, and we have it under control. It’s going to be just fine.”