Here is the complete COVID report for Thursday.

There is bad news in the USA, even before omicron has become a factor.

  • The total number of hospitalized COVID patients has increased 19% in the past two weeks.
  • The number of new cases reported in the USA was 133k on Thursday, an increase of about 19% in the past two weeks.
  • The month of November began with a national average of 4.9 positive tests per hundred and ended at 6.9 per hundred, an increase of more than 40% in a month.

Internationally:

  • There are still five major European countries in the double red zone with both criteria increasing in the past week: Germany, Slovakia, Belgium, Poland and Hungary. Belgium now has the highest infection rate (8x the red line), and is still increasing dramatically (18% in the past week, the highest rate of increase in that group). Hungary has the highest fatality rate (6x the red line), while Germany is experiencing the most dramatic increase in fatalities in that group (32% in the past week).

Universally:

The news from South Africa is not good:

“Population-level evidence suggests that the Omicron variant is associated with substantial ability to evade immunity from prior infection.”

“South Africa has the world’s fastest-growing caseload, though the figures are small compared to those in many other countries. In the first half of November, it was averaging about 260 reported new cases a day. On Tuesday, the figure was over 4,300, the highest in months. It jumped to more than 8,600 on Wednesday, and to more than 11,500 on Thursday.”

196 thoughts on “COVID update

  1. According to scientist/virologist Peter Hotez, approximately 150,000 fully unvaccinated people have died from Covid since June 1, 2021. This is out of approximately 183,000 Covid deaths since that time, meaning that approximately 5/6 of those dying from Covid were fully unvaccinated. It’s certainly reasonable to believe that most of the remaining 33,000 were those partially vaccinated.

    I can’t say as I care about those Americans (and Canadians) who are unvaccinated dying, I just wish they’d all die off as quickly as possible so the rest of us can put this all behind us.

    1. “For Big Miners, U.S. Workers Are Most Reluctant to Get Vaccinated
      Mining companies operate in some of the world’s least developed countries, yet have their lowest Covid-19 vaccination rates at U.S. sites.”

      Brilliant…

      1. Hey, that is a big success story for the GOP! And, uh, freedom or something! And why are you ignoring Hilary and Uranium One if you care so much about mines?

    2. Sometimes I feel like you do about the unvaccinated, Adam T, and other times I remember how I used to feel about people back before Trump won the 2016 election and we found out so much about a lot of the American public.

      I recommend watching Beau of the Fifth Column’s videos on YouTube, especially his recent one about the upheavals in the Q-World. He has a shrewd but human take on most things, IMO.

      You probably don’t really need any advice from me. You are better informed than I am, that’s for sure.

      1. I’m not just venting, I really wish these people would either wise up and get vaccinated or literally drop dead, but there is a Playboy of the Western World aspect to this from me as well.

        Unlike many Americans who profess to be horrified at the notion of wishing people dead, I actually wear a mask in all indoor public settings even in places I don’t have to (which right now in British Columbia is just private homes) precisely because I actually don’t want to be responsible for anybody’s death, even a Covidiot.

        Though there are alternate interpretations of the play, the generally accepted, is it expresses how it’s one thing to believe something in the abstract, but another to believe the same thing in a concrete way.

        If you’re not familiar, the protagonist in the play arrives in a new town after believing that he had killed his father. All the town’s inhabitants fete him and praise him for his courage at having the courage to have done so after he tells them about his father believing that he is just telling a yarn, but when his father actually shows up in the town all battered and bruised, the townsfolk run the son off saying “how could you have tried to kill your father?!?!”

        1. I know the feeling. I can see your point of view about them. Of course, it would be better if they would wise up, get vaccinated, stop believing anything OANS or Fox “News” tells them, and start voting with a realistic appreciation of their own interest instead of anger and fear.

          But they need to be stopped from going down the road they are traveling, just as the South needed to be stopped in 1861. Even more so, because unlike the South, they want to take the rest of use with them.

          And if they are the victims of their own delusions, well…. I am not going to blame myself for that, anyway.

    3. For the first time, the pandemic might alter the political landscape in the USA. It is now tearing through some swing states like Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, etc. Since the left is basically vaccinated and the right is basically unvaccinated, it means that the fatalities will disproportionately reduce the number of Trump voters, thus swinging the states slightly farther leftward.

      Whatsoever a man soweth, that shall he also reap.

      1. Gotta disagree. Without covid – or with a Trump covid response better than the series of tweets and fart noises that we got – the fucker could have been re-elected. 2020 was the first time.

        1. I think Trump would have been as well. The reason from me is that, as I’ve written here before, economic growth kinds of builds on itself and steadily encompasses more and more until even the chronically unemployed start to get hired.

          I think the U.S economy, as uneven as it was given that the Federal Reserve could not even start to unwind the previous tapering program, was getting close to that point, and when that happens, not surprisingly people start to feel more and more a sense of ‘peace and prosperity’ and support the President more and more.

          I don’t know if Trump’s handling of Covid hurt him or not in the election, but it froze the economy and prevented the continued economic growth from occurring. The polls on the election from March to November of 2020 largely didn’t change.

          I think Trump, when he’s being rational and realizes the election wasn’t stolen from him thinks this as well. I think in his own way this is why he whines that he was the person most negatively effected by Covid, (or whatever he specifically said that was very close to that.)

  2. Bad news…and no clue currently on how effective the vaccines are. All four confirmed cases in Botswana were among vaccinated people.

  3. I’m at the point now where I want to see the idiots of the world die off anyway.
    Right now it’s the perfect storm coming: winter, a new Delta Plus variant, schools in session, and of course the holidays.
    I do think things will settle down when the new Pfizer pill goes into full production.
    This of course assumes that the conspiracy crowd will actually take it (you know, because of all the 5G, infertility, rewriting DNA, and tracking devices in it) , but I bet two weeks in ICU slowly suffocating will change their minds. (I hope they refuse to take it still, because screw ’em)
    If this pill works as advertised, and so far the studies look good, it’s a game changer.

  4. The time is coming & the case is being made that talk of putting CoVid behind us has not turned out to be our likely long term prospect. We are going to have ups & downs. What we need to talk about now, realistically, is shifting in & out of a lower gear. Probably on an as-needed basis. Which means, geographically, a patchwork of outbreaks & counter-measures. Like so many other diseases & pathogens.

    http://news.yahoo.com/zealand-admits-no-longer-rid-053826244.html

    http://news.yahoo.com/japans-dip-covid-19-cases-074352014.html

    http://news.yahoo.com/where-does-natural-immunity-stand-in-fight-over-vaccine-mandates-231039244.html

    1. Not hatred, informed self interest. Kids can’t get the shot, they aren’t safe, duh. Now I know you couldn’t care less, not being a kid. But won’t someone, please, think of the economy? The sooner we get to herd immunity, the sooner people can get back to work, unload the container ships, drive the trucks and get you that Baby Yoda doll you’ve had your eye on.

        1. Dang Roger, I was trying to keep it classy and soft-pedal that detail. For the same reason, I will not describe *how* Baby Yoda gets blown up nor speculate whether he opted for the deluxe model with the vibrating anus.

          1. You are right, Nature Mom, and I apologize. I forgot that “classy” is the one word that sums up the essence of this website and its master, Uncle Scoopy. I have dishonored an American monument of dignity and good taste.

            And OF COURSE steve is getting the deluxe version. I defy anyone to imagine that he would do otherwise. “It is to laugh!”

    2. You think anti-vaccine idiocy is new?

      Prior to the pandemic we’ve had measles outbreaks because of anti-vaxxers thus setting the stage for where we are now. We needed to push back against this before, we really need to do it now.

    3. Not that I disagree with Nature Mom’s sentiment about wanting to re-anchor to safety. It’s just that…

      First, novelty = severity. The seriousness of a pathogen is not just about its own “potency” or “virulence”. It’s also about how fast our immune response recognizes the pathogen & is able to control the infection. Pragmatically, we should mark a new pathogen by its effect. Not technically, by lineage. From that perspective, the Delta variant became a new disease. We were lucky that it could still be, if only marginally, swept under the same rug covering the initial outbreak. Our path back to “normal” is on the verge of being thwarted yet again.

      The spike protein of SARS-CoV-2 variant A.30 is heavily mutated and evades vaccine-induced antibodies with high efficiency

  5. Back on Sept 10th I posted a comment about anti-vaccers. At the time I had discovered that two of my co-workers were anti-vaccers.
    As a quick update, I have since learned that there is a 3rd co-worker of mine that is anti-vaccine. And for the record, I’m part of an IT group of around 20 people total. These are allegedly intelligent people.
    I have also learned that my own sister and her husband are anti-vaccine.
    So far, out of the 5 people, here’s what they all have in common:
    1. Conspiracy theorist
    2. Strong religious belief (to be clear, for my sister, the religion is catholic)
    3. Foxnews

    For myself, I don’t believe there is a mysterious invisible sky God, anymore than I believe in the Great Pumpkin, so from the outside looking at all of the anti-vaccers, it looks to me like they all show a willingness to believe in something that is not real as a form of mental comfort.

    (I realize my amateur analysis doesn’t apply to everyone. No need to bombard me with replies. It’s just a tiny sampling of what I have observed. )

    1. Yeah, almost all of it is the willing disbelief. I also have a Catholic sister. She literally – *literally* – always has Fox on, except maybe when everyone’s asleep. It’s spooky, the endless TV as much as the Fox.
      But there’s also this privilege subtext (not very sub) of “I’m white and fairly well-off, this shouldn’t be my problem”.

  6. Seriously, how is CBS not slapping this map up every night during the evening news – ideally with a big “Breaking! News!” buildup. Even the whackos who are dead (and I mean dead) set against getting the shot might think to do what we were all doing pre-vaccine – stay in, WFH, bake some bread maybe…

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